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发表于 2022-5-20 09:05:20
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https://sonar21.com/scott-ritters-unforced-error/
这里的一个评论,很有意思的观点。冬天是俄罗斯的朋友,欧洲熬不过冬天
In terms of length of war I think when people talk in years they don’t quite understand how cold winter is in Ukraine and Eastern Europe.
Leaves fall, Forrest’s are not so easy to hide in, everything shows up against a white background and it’s incredibly cold.
Who is going to sand and salt the roads, take care of the train tracks, make sure pipes don’t burst.
Yes Russia has not destroyed lots of key infrastructure but alot of the damage will only show in winter.
NATO recognises they have until winter to fight. Once winter hits it will be insanely hard to fight Russia. The pain they can inflict economically -gas – on Europe and Ukrainie is not just a side consideration, it is a fatal blow.
This war from NATO Europe side has to wind down before winter increases demand for gas and therefore prices.
Russia can sit tight and move cautiously over summer, making sure that it builds up areas it takes to handle winter.
When winter comes Russia will have a decision. Put aside other weapons. It will have the power to kill people, destroy industries, inflict massive suffering just by turning a gas switch.
When they do that. If they do. All hell wil break loose and the war will really come home. |
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