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6月8日,乌军大规模进攻失败、损失大量兵力和装备 [复制链接]

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发表于 2023-6-8 11:41:07 |显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 远航一号 于 2023-6-9 19:46 编辑

https://twitter.com/MikaelValterss1/status/1666648209081475073


NEWS UPDATE & ANALYSIS UKRAINIAN COUNTEROFFENSIVE ZAPORIZHIA LATE NIGHT JUNE 8It seems that the much awaited ukrainian counteroffensive has started. Since yesterday a number of waves with ukrainian units has attacked the russian positions south and southwest of Orikhiv.


The fighting has been very hard but the ukrainian forces has made only minor gains and according to my russian sources there seems to have been heavy casualities on both sides, but especially on the ukrainian side. The russian MoD will probably claim several thousand killed ukrainians and 50-100 destroyed ukrainian combat vehicles later today.

After several unsuccessfull assaults yesterday with limited artillery support the UkrAF spent a couple of hours long massive artillery barrage on the russian forward positions before resuming attacks during the night but to no avail. For the time being no attacks are ongoing, but large ukrainian formations are in position for resumed attacks. The attacks will probably resume in a couple of hours.

I believe the ukrainian side is disappointed with the lack of progress. They must break through not only the first russian defenceline but a large number of defencelines behind the first one. To achieve success the ukrainian side cannot spend many days with huge losses to break through each defenceline. The coming three or four days might be some of the most important days in 2023 when it comes to the war.

If UkrAF doesn't succeed in breaking through the russian defences and suffer massive casualities during the attempts the summer offensive will be shortlived and a failure. If on the other side ukrainian forces do break through they have to take on the next defenceline and it's starting over again. The only way Ukraine can achieve a significant success is if the russian forces collapse under pressure from the attacks and panic spreads. But that doesn't seem likely at the moment.Ukraine must get a significant success during the offensive to make it worth the costs. A failure will change  the perception of the RuAF both in the West but also in the rest of the world. The likelihood of a ukrainian military victory will disappear. Pressure both within the western countries,  but also from the west towards Ukraine, will increase on negotiations to solve the conflict. On the other hand a victoriousl Russia might want to go for a military victory instead of negotiations and use a ukrainian defeat for an major offensive.For the time going I'm inclined to believe that the most likely outcome is a ukrainian defeat. They have no surprise or numerical superiotity and faces an enemy with superiority in artillery and air power who awaits them in well prepared fortifications. It looks a lot like the battle of Kursk in 1943. When the Third Reich throw all their reserves in an offensive against well prepared Soviet defences and used up all of their carefully gathered reserves during a couple of weeks, without any major success.





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发表于 2023-6-8 11:45:10 |显示全部楼层
未来三四天的战斗可能决定整个战争的进程。

乌克兰傀儡当局的所谓夏季攻势越来越像后来发展为库尔斯克战役的德国法西斯1943年的夏季攻势(代号“堡垒”)

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发表于 2023-6-8 11:46:49 |显示全部楼层
弗拉基米尔·罗戈夫报告说,乌克兰武装部队的一个坦克群在马来亚托克马奇卡和新达尼洛夫卡之间发动攻势,一场使用大炮和航空兵的高强度战斗正在进行中。

如果关于今晚部署和参与战斗的装甲数量的报告是正确的,那么这可能是自 1981 年 Hoveyzeh 行动以来最大规模的坦克战。  

今晚正在创造历史。

https://twitter.com/KELMAND1/status/1666645253481463808

(这里说的“今晚”应当指6月7日夜至8日凌晨)

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发表于 2023-6-8 11:59:18 |显示全部楼层
与此同时,北约将于下周开始大规模军事演习

在乌傀儡军队溃败之际,北约地面部队和空军是否会公开大规模介入并发展为第三次世界大战,须密切观察

数万北约雇佣兵、特种兵已经在与俄罗斯作战(相当于越南战争中的“特种战争”阶段)

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隐秘战线  警惕不可一世数十载之北约帝国主义的最后疯狂!  发表于 2023-6-8 15:57:51

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发表于 2023-6-8 12:10:00 |显示全部楼层
Battle has been continuing for around 6 hours now. 01:00-07:00

Scene from a Russian position in Zaporozhye

https://twitter.com/squatsons/status/1666659918685020161

8日凌晨的战斗已经进行了六个小时

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发表于 2023-6-8 12:10:46 |显示全部楼层

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远航一号  拂晓时的俄军阵地  发表于 2023-6-8 12:11:32

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发表于 2023-6-8 12:13:37 |显示全部楼层
Incredible:
10 Ukrainian brigades have been rendered combat ineffective by the VKS in the last 4 days according to reliable intelligence reports.

https://twitter.com/cirnosad/status/1666660882984865792

在过去四天中,乌军10个旅失去战斗力

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发表于 2023-6-8 12:22:39 |显示全部楼层
前线传来消息。战斗航空兵空袭非常强大和密集。俄罗斯部队士兵在战壕里抽烟休整,等着对面被被活埋。与此同时航空兵和大炮继续大规模打击乌克兰武装部队的攻击部队。

https://twitter.com/KELMAND1/status/1666664181666557954

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发表于 2023-6-8 12:24:45 |显示全部楼层
News from the Zaporozhye Front, Orekhov direction

The guys write that they burned columns of enemy equipment all night long, of which there were many. There are no front line changes.

https://twitter.com/tretter50001/status/1666664476538535940

俄军不断消灭乌军的装甲纵队,战线没有变化

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发表于 2023-6-8 12:29:48 |显示全部楼层
各种迹象表明,俄乌战争的决定性阶段来到了

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