乌军有从赫尔松方向渡过第聂伯河发起进攻的企图

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Rybar has reported that the AFU has moved and is moving forces into  Kherson city and Nova Kakhovka. They also mention an S-300 battery that has been moved into the area and is complicating Ru aviation operations. This could suggest a larger operation in the area over the coming weeks.


https://twitter.com/squatsons/status/1673777838376497152

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几天前，有小股乌军从安东涅夫桥附近渡过第聂伯河，并建立了一个桥头堡

第聂伯河洪水退去后，下游水位大幅度下降，有利于乌军渡河。说明所谓俄军自己炸坝阻止乌军渡河完全是无稽之谈。

乌军将一套S300放空系统部署在赫尔松，可能给俄空天军造成威胁。

乌军是否会将主攻方向从扎波罗热一带转移到赫尔松方向，待观察。

远航一号

As of June 27, 2023, clashes persist with the Ukrainian Armed Forces positioned under the remains of the Antonovsky bridge in the vicinity of Dacha on the left bank of the Dnepr River.

The Russian Aerospace Forces attempted to target the shelters of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the left bank today, but their efforts were unsuccessful.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces deployed S-300 anti-aircraft missile systems in Sadovoe and Pravdino to intercept Russian combat aircraft. This hindered the frontline aviation's ability to target this area.

Additionally, there are difficulties in searching, detecting, and neutralizing targets using Lancet drones and FPV drones due to signal loss when approaching the contact zone. These signal disruptions could be attributed to the activities of electronic warfare units.

Furthermore, the 93rd Ombre of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is being urgently transferred to the Antonovsky bridge and the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station from the Dnepropetrovsk region. The 93rd brigade was recovering from previous fighting in the Artyomovsk zone.

In Antonovka, there have been sightings of pontoon crossings and engineering groups belonging to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

The main forces are expected to arrive in the next few days for an operation to cross the Dnepr River in the vicinity of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station and capture Novaya Kakhovka. Given the existing presence near the Antonovsky bridge and the potential diversion of Russian troops to this area, a strike from the Kozatsky direction would be

https://twitter.com/squatsons/status/1673777838376497152

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指鸭为鼠 发表于 2023-6-28 08:46
花园口决堤难道一劳永逸了？只是当时紧急情况下争取时间而已

你是不学历史是吧？

花园口决堤后被淹没的河淮之间广大地区，叫“黄泛区”。一直到解放战争时期还是国共双方军事行动的重大障碍。

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指鸭为鼠 发表于 2023-6-28 08:44
扎哈罗娃最近改口称大坝被炸不是一颗海玛斯的功劳，而是乌克兰长期连续300多次海玛斯轰炸的结果，笑 ...

以后类似评论，必须提供出处，完整引用

否则将应其他网友要求对你采取管理措施！

扎哈罗娃什么时候说过，只靠一枚海玛斯就把大坝炸了？请提供原始出处！

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指鸭为鼠 发表于 2023-6-28 11:59
按照你的逻辑，为什么因为干涸了可以渡过去了，就证明乌克兰炸了大坝呢？乌克兰难道不会想到“黄泛区” ...

要破坏大坝，既要有动机，又要有手段。

俄罗斯方面完全没有动机，乌克兰方面有大量、多方面动机：

http://www.redchinacn.net/forum. ... 316&extra=page%3D12
动机长篇分析：

https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-dam

剩下的问题就是手段，这还有待调查研究，但乌克兰方面肯定具备这样的手段，可以靠炸，也可以不靠炸。

这是炸的办法：

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/06/kakhovadam.html


这里有一篇技术分析，不炸的办法：

https://simplicius76.substack.co ... sis-on-kakhovka-dam

To be honest, given the evidence above, it does seem to me the much more likely culprit was this ‘semi-natural’ method, but the blame would still fall on Ukraine for having facilitated it by pumping up the Kakhovka reservoir from upstream.